Topics:
------
Internet economy to top $1-2 trillion by 2002, CEO says
Internet cameras to guard school?
The Internet Appliance
Worldwide Internet Trade Shows
*********************************************************
Internet economy to top $1-2 trillion by 2002, CEO says
-------------------------------------------------------
The chief executive of the leading maker of Internet equipment
estimated more than $1 trillion to $2 trillion worth of goods and
services will be sold on the Net by 2002.
Cisco Systems CEO John Chambers, speaking at Gartner Group's
Symposium ITxpo 98 conference in Orlando, Fla., said current
projections for the growth of electronic commerce were "way too
conservative... by about five to tenfold."
Chambers was speaking about market research that puts electronic
commerce at $200 billion to $300 billion in 2002.
The Cisco CEO told an audience of corporate information technology
managers that his San Jose, Calif.-based company had trimmed more
than $500 million from total expenses of $2.5 billion last year by
moving much of its business onto the Internet in the last four years.
But, although he made a rosy long-term forecast, Chambers declined to
comment directly on short-term business trends at Cisco and whether
he was seeing any sign of a slowdown in corporate technology spending
in his own business.
Chambers said part of the reason for the low-ball estimates by market
analysts is that many exaggerate the importance of business-to-
business commerce and underestimate the potential growth of the
consumer market as the Net becomes more mainstream.
Gartner, a top industry consulting firm, has estimated business-to-
business electronic commerce will be 12 to 15 times larger than
consumer markets for the next few years, with consumer sales only
catching up with business markets midway into the next decade.
Businesses-to-business e-commerce involves companies and their
suppliers while consumer markets include home shopping, banking,
health care and broadband -- or high-power -- communications to the
home.
Although sales between businesses will dominate electronic commerce
in the near term, Chambers said that by 2002 consumer-oriented
business would represent 50 percent of the Internet economy.
In describing how e-commerce will shift toward mass consumer markets
over time, Chambers noted Cisco single-handedly is responsible for
nearly one-third of current Internet-based trade.
Sixty-four percent, or $5.6 billion of Cisco's revenues of $8.5
billion last year, were Internet-based, he noted.
"I am saving from (these) six or seven Web-based applications
(programs) each year what my nearest-most competitor spends on
research and development," Chambers said of the $500 million in
estimated cost savings that these programs generated for Cisco last
year.
While declining to comment on short-term business trends ahead of the
company's quarterly earnings report early next month, Chambers said
growth in Cisco's core corporate equipment business was closely tied
to capital spending.
In economies that are growing well, he said, Cisco continues to grow
in excess of 30 percent. But in economies that are struggling, the
data equipment maker is growing from 0 percent to 30 percent and in
economies in recession Cisco's revenue growth is negative.
However, he suggested the company may be able to offset any slowdown
in the corporate equipment market by the current upswing in business
to phone service providers around the globe.
Chambers said Cisco has capitalized on the turmoil in Asia to capture
"dramatic" gains in market share. He said his company has boosted its
work force fourfold in the last 12 months in the Asia-Pacific region,
not including Japan.
--By Eric Auchard, Reuters
(http://www.techserver.com/newsroom/ntn/info/101498/info5_8023_nofram
es.html)
*********************************************************
Internet cameras to guard school?
---------------------------------
Online security could help schools prevent vandalism
A headteacher's plan to use the Internet to protect his school from
intruders has fallen foul of data protection regulations.
John Mann, head of Portsdown Primary School, Portsmouth, wanted to
connect his school's security cameras to a Website, so that he could
monitor the premises from home in the evening.
But Portsmouth City Council has advised Mr Mann that the scheme could
be in breach of an updated Data Protection Act, due to be implemented
next year.
Cameras can help prevent burglaries and vandalism
Mr Mann had planned that the 16 cameras in and around his school
would send images by modem to his Website, helping him to
electronically patrol the school using his home computer.
The CCTV cameras have so far proved a great success at the school and
Mr Mann wanted to extend the hours of surveillance. At present, the
school cameras record overnight but are not monitored.
"We've already saved a fortune with the cameras, letting us keep
things outside which would never have been possible before. For
instance, we're keeping chickens now - they wouldn't have lasted an
evening before."
Burglars caught
In recent weeks, the cameras helped to secure the conviction of two
would-be burglars, Mr Mann said.
In an incident before the cameras were introduced, he said that
vandals had left the playground "looking as though someone had driven
a bulldozer through it", but now there were far fewer problems.
However the school, in conjunction with the council, is considering
an alternative system for next year, in which the school's cameras
would be linked by modem to a control centre, which could be staffed
overnight and which could provide a service to other schools in the
city.
--BBC
(http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/education/newsid_192000/192708.stm)
*********************************************************
The Internet Appliance
----------------------
IDC is forecasting that by 2002 there will be an overall installed
base of 515 million Web devices. And by that time, they forecast that
the shipment of NON-PC Internet Appliances will be growing far faster
than the shipment of traditional PCs (a CAGR of 96% vs. 12%
respectively - http://www.idcresearch.com/F/Ei/gens19.htm), with non-
PC Internet Appliances catching up and accounting for "almost 50% of
unit shipments by 2002." So, given these possible market directions,
it's interesting to think about an early Internet Appliance fashion
idea from NCR -- the "Microwave Bank."
Picture, if you will, a traditional microwave oven, but with a touch-
sensitive LCD screen in place of the door's window:
http://www3.ncr.com/press_release/images/microwave.jpg
But why the name "Microwave Bank" for what seems to be a simple
microwave-PC combination? Because this is envisioned to be more, and
less, than a generic PC that also heats lunch. NCR's Knowledge Lab
(http://www.knowledgelab.com/) is offering this idea as one way to
bring electronic banking and financial services to the folks who
don't "do PCs." (And, even to households that do have regular PCs, by
providing a stable, focused "appliance." That way little Joey,
downloading the latest game and catching a virus, doesn't prevent Mom
from paying the bills.)
But why incorporate this into a microwave oven? Because, according to
Knowledge Lab director Stephen Emmott in the Sept. 11 Computergram,
"Unlike the PC or the TV, the microwave is in the working center of
the home - the kitchen - and it's a device most people are familiar
and comfortable with."
Picture this. While we're heating our leftovers, we can also, using
the touch screen or built-in voice recognition, bring up recipes from
the Web (on how to combine several leftovers?) We can pay the
electricity bill that just came in. And, because of the built-in bar
code scanner, we can wave the almost-empty bottle of ketchup at the
microwave which will recognize it and add it to the week's shopping
list. (It can also automatically send that shopping list to one of
the online grocery services, such as Peapod (http://www.peapod.com/)
or NetGrocer (http://www.netgrocer.com/), to keep our pantry
stocked!) And, if our Microwave Bank also has a TV tuner board, we
can catch up on the latest soaps.
Of course an appliance that keeps track of what and how we eat, and
what and where we buy and save, can get to know quite a bit about us
yielding some interesting opportunities (and the need to think about
privacy issues):
"The Microwave Bank will get to know more about your preferences and
lifestyle each time you use it, thanks to an intelligent agent which
stores and processes all the requests you make. If you've started to
buy reduced fat yogurt, the Microwave Bank can suggest that you try
skimmed milk too; or, when it knows your holiday is approaching, it
can remind you to invest in some sun block - even flagging up reduced
rates on particular Web sites."
http://www3.ncr.com/press_release/pr091098b.html
What I find interesting about the Microwave Bank is NCR's recognition
that more of our day-to-day activities are going to benefit from
reaching out and touching the Internet for core services. And as that
occurs, there are going to be a wealth of opportunities to integrate
access to the Internet into simple, easy-to-use, task-oriented
appliances that seamlessly fit within our lifestyles.
It's all going to be about "choice." Some folks might like this
access built in to their microwave, others might like it above the
icemaker on the refrigerator, or perhaps as a panel above the stove,
or built into a cabinet door, or on their workbench -- or, of course,
through a conventional PC. It's that type of choice, similar to our
being able to purchase a standalone telephone or a bedside clock
radio with one built-in, that seems likely to change the face of the
neighborhood "appliance shop" over the next few years. I guess soon,
when we buy our next appliance, we'll be asked if we want to sign up
for Internet service along with the extended warranty!
Of course in the case of the Microwave Bank, I do wonder if we can
still watch our food as it's cooking -- perhaps the LCD screen
displays the image from a built-in camera when the Microwave Bank is
merely cooking...
--Jeffrey Harrow, The Rapidly Changing Face of Computing
http://www.digital.com/rcfoc/980921.htm
*********************************************************
Worldwide Internet Trade Shows:
------------------------------
U.S./Canada: all shows are summarized at
http://www.techweb.com/calendar/calendar.html and at
http://www.tsnn.com. There is an excellent listing of Web-
oriented events at http://www.cio.com/WebMaster/wm_calendar.html
Europe:
The European Events Calendar Service: http://www.eto.org.uk/events/
U.K./Ireland:
The Exhibition Net: http://www.exhibitions.co.uk (a
complete listing of exhibitions in the U.K.)
URL: http://www.redherring.com/events/vmu98/home.html
17-21 Oct. -- Internet World Ireland '98 (Dublin)
URL: http://www.internet-show.ie
27-28 Oct. -- Jupiter's Consumer Online Forum/Europe conference
and expo (London: Sheraton Park Lane Piccadilly Hotel)
URL: http://www.jup.com/events/forums/cofe/
29-30 Oct. -- Successful Selling and Marketing over the Internet
(London, Mountbatten Hotel)
URL: http://www.fletch.co.uk/internet/index3.html
19-20 Nov. -- Fletcher Expert Forum (London: Claridge's Hotel)
Subject: Personal Finance Online
URL: http://www.fletch.co.uk/internet/index5a.html
8-9 Dec. -- Internet World Scotland
25-27 May, 1999 -- Internet World Spring (London)
France:
20-23 Oct. -- Le Salon des nouvelles technologies: Networld-
Interop (Paris: CNIT) URL: http://www.lesalon.com/entree2.html
4-6 Nov. -- Interop-France (networks, Internet, Intranet: Paris,
Porte de Versailles)
19-22 Nov. -- Revolution Multimedia (Paris, Porte de Versailles)
8-12 Feb., 1999 -- COMDEX IT France '99 (Paris)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=280
9-12 Feb., 1999 -- MILIA (interactive media): Cannes.
URL: http://www.milia.com, email: 100321.1310@compuserve.com
10-12 Feb., 1999 -- IT Forum, Online Intranet, Solutions
Internet, EDI Commerce Electronique (Paris, Porte de Versailles)
URL: http://www.infopromotions.fr
28 Feb. - 2 March, 1999 -- E-Commerce and New Media: Managing
Safety, Security and Malware Challenges Effectively (Paris)
Email: Urs_the_Bear@bigfoot.com
URL: http://www.eicar.com/callp99.htm
Germany:
19-23 Oct. -- Systems (Munich): http://www.systems.de
4-7 Nov. -- Internet Vision (Leipzig):
URL: http://www.leipziger-messe.de
24-26 Nov. -- Internet World Fall (Duesseldorf):
URL: http://www.internet-world.de
24-26 Nov. -- Exponet (Duesseldorf): http://www.exponet.de
9-12 Feb., 1999 -- Online (Hamburg); E-Mail:
101370.635@compuserve.com
18-20 May, 1999 -- Internet World (Berlin)
URL: http://www.internetworld.de/messe/messe_e2.htm
Italy:
22-26 Oct. -- Internet World Italy/SMAU (Milan)
URL:
http://www.smau.it/magellano/english/smau/visitare/aree/intwo.htm
Sweden:
10-12 Nov. -- Internet World Sweden '98 (Stockholm)
URL: http://www.exponova.se/iws98/
Switzerland:
11-13 Nov. -- Interactive Publishing Europe (Zurich)
URL: http://www.interactivepublishing.ch
Spain:
Nov. -- Commercenet '98 Global Summit (Madrid)
URL: http://www.commercenet.org/commercenet/sinerg/conf98.htm
May, 1999 -- Internet World Spain (Barcelona)
Portugal:
Feb., 1999 -- Internet World (Lisbon)
Czech Republic:
31 March - 1 April, 1999 -- Internet World Prague
Pacific Rim:
Japan:
6-9 April, 1999 -- COMDEX/Japan '99 (Tokyo)
Sept., 1999 -- Internet World Japan '99 (Tokyo)
China:
29-31 Oct. -- PT/EXPO COMM CHINA 98 (Beijing)
URL: http://www.ejkrause.com/expocomm/asia/ptexpochina.htm
10-12 Nov. -- ChinaInet/Internet World (Beijing)
URL: http://www.conference.org.cn/98/index.html
23-26 March, 1999 -- COMDEX/China '99 (Beijing)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=281
Hong Kong:
3-5 Nov., 1999 -- Internet World Asia @ Hong Kong
Singapore:
3-5 March, 1999 -- Internet World Asia @ Singapore
India:
2-5 Dec. -- Comdex/IT INDIA '98 (New Delhi)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=251
21-24 August, 1999 -- Internet World India (New Delhi)
Middle East/Africa:
Israel:
29-31 Dec. -- Internet Shopper Israel '98 (Tel Aviv)
23-25 Feb., 1999 -- Internet World Israel (Tel Aviv)
Egypt:
15-18 May, 1999 -- COMDEX/Egypt '99 (Cairo International
Exhibition Conference Centre)
URL: http://www.dit.net/comdex/daily/daily.html
20-22 Sept., 1999 -- Internet World Egypt (Cairo)
United Arab Emirates:
22-24 Feb., 1999 -- Internet World Middle East (Abu Dhabi)
URL: http://www.tfcfairs.com/oldind.html
Turkey:
3-5 December, 1999 -- Internet World Turkey (Istanbul)
Latin America:
Brazil:
3-6 Nov. -- EXPO COMM BRAZIL (Sao Paolo)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=243
19-22 May, 1999 -- Internet World Brazil (São Paulo)
Argentina:
23-26 March, 1999 -- Internet World Argentina (Buenos Aires)
1-4 June, 1999 -- COMDEX/INFOCOM Argentina '99 (Buenos Aires)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=282
Chile:
Oct. -- Internet World Chile '98 (Santiago)
Venezuela:
11-13 Nov. -- Internet World Venezuela '98 (Caracas)
URL: http://www.internetwv.com/evento98.htm
Ecuador:
1-4 Dec. -- EXPO COMM ANDINO 98 (Bogota)
URL: http://www.comdex.com/comdex/owa/event_home?v_event_id=250
Mexico:
5-7 May, 1999 -- Internet World (Mexico City)
25-28 May, 1999 -- COMDEX/Mexico '99 (Mexico City)
If you know of any Internet exhibitions or conferences
to announce in future editions of "the Internet Times", please
send the editor a word: mailto:bill@euromktg.com.
Publication Notes:
The editor is at bill@euromktg.com, if you would like to give feedback or submit an article. We hope you find these articles to be useful and of interest to you. The "Internet Times" is published on the 1st and 15th of every month, and is available here on the Web and by autoresponder. To have the latest copy sent to you by email, click on the "news" image here (please click only once).
Subscription information:
email contact: info@euromktg.com
Web: http://www.euromktg.com
Voicemail/fax (U.S.): 1/415/680-2423
Voicemail/fax (Europe): +331/5301-0741
Autoresponder site: ema-eng@euromktg.com (send blank email for index of documents available)
COPYRIGHT: This newsletter is copyright 1998 by Bill Dunlap, Euro-Marketing Associates, or by other individuals or organizations who have written the original articles. Permission to redistribute this newsletter electronically is granted as long as you quote the source for the article that immediately follows each article. All brand names and companies mentioned in this newsletter are trademarks of their respective holders.
Return to Home Page
Last revised on 15 Oct., 998
URL: http://www.euromktg.com/eng/ed/it/current.html